Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 22.666138 26.223028 30.070112 34.529636 39.545669 45.001972 51.374683
2025-02-09 16.605391 21.521355 27.354703 34.733892 43.761436 54.384382 67.763272
2025-02-16 12.873364 18.294670 25.221907 34.601520 46.832141 62.087984 82.382771
2025-02-23 10.282725 15.828915 23.379269 34.202381 49.074758 68.518995 95.534474
2025-03-02 8.459767 13.994414 21.965950 33.976527 51.240940 74.728885 108.568771
2025-03-09 7.064133 12.495523 20.735052 33.722691 53.157480 80.541665 121.262323
2025-03-16 5.563895 10.550212 18.528215 31.690438 52.191325 82.091565 127.943737
2025-03-23 4.984534 10.003727 18.387487 32.731227 55.787901 90.331161 144.576643
2025-03-30 4.575720 9.676618 18.538471 34.206023 60.109887 99.852540 163.579003
2025-04-06 3.872619 8.689431 17.434856 33.469169 60.810684 103.857054 174.452523
2025-04-13 3.166749 7.566540 15.933339 31.862987 59.899820 105.214982 181.237373
2025-04-20 2.989509 7.476978 16.299835 33.555055 64.610842 115.735988 202.869559
2025-04-27 2.925025 7.646179 17.230271 36.459170 71.804185 131.001109 233.387369
2025-05-04 2.597858 7.188663 16.896774 37.013664 74.980601 139.946522 254.376366
2025-05-11 2.256298 6.628122 16.274294 36.937368 76.997988 147.046860 272.706766
2025-05-18 1.938178 6.053424 15.533192 36.526899 78.329872 153.001396 289.373903
2025-05-25 1.679841 5.571474 14.918685 36.290089 79.938340 159.490125 307.234347
2025-06-01 1.456306 5.129847 14.326449 36.021872 81.437498 165.832172 325.114441
2025-06-08 1.158877 4.400535 12.940969 33.870724 79.004565 164.844665 329.985448
2025-06-15 1.072576 4.280640 13.020025 34.972589 83.223890 176.361446 357.729925
2025-06-22 1.015198 4.239106 13.290357 36.533436 88.493970 190.111163 390.117364
2025-06-29 0.863756 3.848066 12.592324 35.753659 88.768591 194.343727 405.226084
2025-07-06 0.700968 3.365808 11.564408 34.053432 86.907207 194.301441 412.339897